Gold eases as dollar, yields firm; Fed rate cut hopes lend support

Gold eases as dollar, yields firm; Fed rate cut hopes lend support

05 August 2024

Gold prices eased on Tuesday on dollar strength and higher bond yields, although expectations of a U.S. rate cut in September and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East kept bullion stable following last session's sharp retreat.

 

Spot gold last fell 0.80% to $2,388.34 per ounce. The metal fell 1.5% in the previous session, driven by global sell-off as fears of the U.S. tipping into recession lingered.

 

U.S. gold futures settled 0.5% lower to $2,431.60

 

The dollar index was up 0.25%, in its first day trading higher against the Japanese currency this month, making greenback-priced bullion less affordable for overseas buyers.

 

"There's still some weakness in gold mainly driven by dollar strength... but the macro environment for gold is relative positive so we'll probably see some range-bound activity in gold over the near term," said Amelia Xiao Fu, head of commodity markets at BOCI.

 

Lebanon's armed group Hezbollah launched a series of drone and rocket attacks into northern Israel.

 

Fed policymakers pushed back against the notion that weaker-than-expected July jobs data means the economy is in recessionary freefall, but also warned that rate cuts will be needed to avoid such an outcome.

 

Bullion is considered a safe asset amid economic uncertainties and benefits from a low interest rate environment.

 

Investors expect central banks to cut interest rates, which should limit the downside potential for gold, if not lift it to new record highs, said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at Forex.com, adding that he expects gold to hit $2,500 in the short term.

 

Markets see a 100% chance of a rate cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

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